Break-Even ROAS: How to Work It Out
By Selling Fee Tools team ·
Return on ad spend (ROAS) is revenue divided by ad spend: spend $10 and make $40 in sales, and your ROAS is 4. Whether 4 is good depends entirely on your margins. Break-even ROAS is the ROAS at which ads pay for themselves and nothing more; below it, every order from an ad loses money. This guide shows how to work it out from your own numbers.
Step 1: contribution margin
Start with one typical order and take off every cost that comes with it:
- product cost (COGS)
- shipping you pay
- platform and payment fees, as a percentage of the price
- other per-order costs, such as packaging
What’s left is the contribution margin: the money each order has to pay for advertising and profit.
Step 2: break-even ROAS
Break-even ROAS = price ÷ contribution margin
At that ROAS your ad spend per order equals the margin, so profit is exactly zero. Two related numbers come from the same margin:
- Max CPA, the most you can pay in ads to win one order, is the contribution margin itself.
- Break-even ACoS, the way Amazon Ads reports it, is the margin as a percentage of the price. ACoS is ad spend divided by sales, the inverse of ROAS.
A worked example
A $50 product that costs $15 to make, $6 to ship and $1.50 in packaging, sold with a 3% platform fee and 2.9% payment fee:
| Price | $50.00 |
| Fees: 5.9% of $50 | −$2.95 |
| Product, shipping and packaging | −$22.50 |
| Contribution margin | $24.55 (49.1% of the price) |
| Break-even ROAS | $50 ÷ $24.55 = 2.04 |
| Break-even ACoS | 49.1% |
| Max CPA | $24.55 |
So a campaign showing a ROAS of 3 is profitable for this product, and one showing 1.8 is losing about $3.20 an order.
Target ROAS for the profit you want
Break-even means no profit. To keep, say, 10% of the price ($5) as profit after ads, set that aside and the rest of the margin is your ad budget per order: $24.55 − $5 = $19.55. Your target ROAS is then $50 ÷ $19.55 = 2.56. If the profit you want is larger than the whole margin, no ROAS can reach it: the product needs a higher price or lower costs before it can be advertised profitably.
Price or cost: which matters more?
Moving the price and the product cost by 10% each way changes break-even ROAS like this:
| Cost −10% | Cost as is | Cost +10% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price −10% ($45) | 2.11 | 2.27 | 2.45 |
| Price as is ($50) | 1.92 | 2.04 | 2.17 |
| Price +10% ($55) | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
For this product a 10% price change moves break-even ROAS more than a 10% cost change, because the price is larger than the product cost. Products with thin margins have high break-even ROAS and are hard to advertise at all.
Common mistakes
- Forgetting fees. Marketplace and payment fees can take 10% of the price or more; get the exact figure for your platform from our fee calculators.
- Using platform ROAS as profit. The ROAS in an ad dashboard counts revenue, not margin. Compare it with your break-even ROAS, not with 1.
- Ignoring returns. If a share of orders is refunded, add the cost of returns to your per-order costs.
Tools
- Break-even ROAS calculator: contribution margin, break-even ROAS and ACoS, max CPA, target ROAS and the sensitivity table
- Profit margin calculator: margin and markup from price and cost
- Marketplace fee comparison: the fee percentage to use for each platform